Research on the Employment Prosperity Index of New Economic Service Industries in China based on Big Data

Authors

  • Yile Wang
  • Yicong Liu
  • Jinyi Lu

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.6981/FEM.202508_6(8).0022

Keywords:

Talent Demand; New Economy; Big Data Analytics; Employment Index; Sectoral Imbalance.

Abstract

China's new economic service industries, catalyzed by supply-side reforms and the "Mass Entrepreneurship and Innovation" initiative, have become pivotal drivers of economic transformation. This research pioneers a comprehensive framework for monitoring sectoral talent demand through big data analytics. We developed specialized web crawlers to harvest 4.3 million recruitment postings from leading platforms, subsequently applying machine learning algorithms to classify enterprises across 14 policy-defined sectors. Our innovative Employment Prosperity Index (EPINE) methodology quantifies demand fluctuations by analyzing daily recruitment volumes against historical baselines. Empirical analysis reveals sustained talent demand growth throughout 2015-2016, with the composite EPINE index consistently exceeding expansion thresholds. Significant seasonal patterns emerged, showing pronounced November-January peaks contrasted with February and July-September troughs. Sectoral disparities proved particularly striking-energy conservation services and fintech demonstrated robust expansion, while leasing industries exhibited concerning volatility including contraction periods. Competency analysis further identified autonomous learning capabilities and cross-disciplinary expertise as critical talent requirements across all sectors. Validation against established economic indicators confirms EPINE's reliability as a real-time diagnostic tool. The 89% correlation with external indices underscores its utility for policymakers addressing industrial imbalances. While this study demonstrates methodological innovation in labor analytics, future enhancements should prioritize multi-platform data integration to overcome current 75% classification accuracy limitations.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

[1] Zhang Q, Zhu H, Sun Y, et al. Talent demand forecasting with attentive neural sequential model[C]//Proceedings of the 27th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining. 2021: 3906-3916.

[2] Cappelli P. Talent on demand–managing talent in an age of uncertainty[J]. Strategic Direction, 2009, 25(3).

[3] Burbach R, Royle T. Talent on demand? Talent management in the German and Irish subsidiaries of a US multinational corporation[J]. Personnel Review, 2010, 39(4): 414-431.

[4] Tsai C W, Lai C F, Chao H C, et al. Big data analytics: a survey[J]. Journal of Big data, 2015, 2(1): 21.

[5] Elgendy N, Elragal A. Big data analytics: a literature review paper[C]//Industrial conference on data mining. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2014: 214-227.

[6] Russom P. Big data analytics[J]. TDWI best practices report, fourth quarter, 2011, 19(4): 1-34.

[7] Chakravarty S R, Silber J. A generalized index of employment segregation[J]. Mathematical Social Sciences, 2007, 53(2): 185-195.

[8] Griffeth R W, Steel R P, Allen D G, et al. The development of a multidimensional measure of job market cognitions: the Employment Opportunity Index (EOI)[J]. Journal of applied Psychology, 2005, 90(2): 335.

[9] Delli Gatti D, Gallegati M, Greenwald B C, et al. Sectoral imbalances and long-run crises[M]//The global macro economy and finance. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2012: 61-97.

[10] Dutt A K. Sectoral balance in development: a survey[J]. World Development, 1990, 18(6): 915-930.

[11] Acemoglu D, Autor D, Patterson C. Bottlenecks: Sectoral imbalances and the US productivity slowdown[J]. NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2024, 38(1): 153-207.

Downloads

Published

2025-08-13

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

Wang, Y., Liu, Y., & Lu, J. (2025). Research on the Employment Prosperity Index of New Economic Service Industries in China based on Big Data. Frontiers in Economics and Management, 6(8), 253-260. https://doi.org/10.6981/FEM.202508_6(8).0022